Tracking since July 19, 2026 | 8 of 9 days

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Valle Crucis

Name: Valle Crucis, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Valle Crucis is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Valle Crucis stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Valle Crucis's forecast

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This board is provisional. Valle Crucis has 8 of 9 scored days. The numbers below are real, just early. They graduate to an established record once the count crosses 9, the same gate every source on the site clears.

Valle Crucis Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Valle Crucis, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record	Trend
Tomorrow.io	97.1	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
WeatherAPI	95.8	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
Google	95.6	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
Dave's Sweater Indexours	93.4	2	2R - 0M - 0W
Open-Meteo	87.6	2	2R - 0M - 0W
MET Norway	81.8	2	1R - 1M - 0W
National Weather Service	73.9	2	1R - 1M - 0W
Visual Crossing	69.6	1	0R - 1M - 0W	—
Ray's Weather	59.6	8	0R - 5M - 3W
OpenWeather	51.0	1	0R - 0M - 1W	—

Tomorrow.io97.1
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
WeatherAPI95.8
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
Google95.6
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
Dave's Sweater Indexours93.4
2R - 0M - 0W | 2 days
Open-Meteo87.6
2R - 0M - 0W | 2 days
MET Norway81.8
1R - 1M - 0W | 2 days
National Weather Service73.9
1R - 1M - 0W | 2 days
Visual Crossing69.6
0R - 1M - 0W | 1 days—
Ray's Weather59.6
0R - 5M - 3W | 8 days
OpenWeather51.0
0R - 0M - 1W | 1 days—

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | July 26, 2026

Valle Crucis's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 77.5° / Lo: 65° | Wind: 8.5 mph | Rain: 0.15"

Moderate drizzle

Ray's WeatherPaid

59.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

80° / 62°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp · ±2.5°

80° → 77.5°

25.5/30

Low temp · ±3°

62° → 65°

24/30

Wind · not published

— → 8.5 mph

—

Precip · —

— → 0.15"

10/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Valle Crucis

Here's what each forecast says for Tuesday, July 28: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	85°	65°	15 mph	Rain
Ray's Weather	82°	62°	—	Rain
NWSnew	83°	62°	2 mph	No precip
Met.nonew	81°	62°	16 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 85° / 65°
Wind: 15 mph
Precip: Rain

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 82° / 62°
Wind: —
Precip: Rain

NWSnew

Hi / Lo: 83° / 62°
Wind: 2 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.nonew

Hi / Lo: 81° / 62°
Wind: 16 mph
Precip: Rain