99 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Banner Elk

Name: Banner Elk, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Banner Elk is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Banner Elk stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Banner Elk's forecast

Banner Elk Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Banner Elk, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	95.5	94	94R - 0M - 0W
Google	93.1	94	91R - 3M - 0W
MET Norway	92.8	94	89R - 5M - 0W
Open-Meteo	90.9	94	91R - 3M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	88.3	94	89R - 5M - 0W
Visual Crossing	88.3	94	93R - 1M - 0W
WeatherAPI	85.8	94	82R - 10M - 2W
OpenWeather	85.5	93	79R - 11M - 3W
National Weather Service	81.9	94	69R - 23M - 2W
Ray's Weather	65.3	99	11R - 67M - 21W

Dave's Sweater Indexours95.5
94R - 0M - 0W | 94 days
Google93.1
91R - 3M - 0W | 94 days
MET Norway92.8
89R - 5M - 0W | 94 days
Open-Meteo90.9
91R - 3M - 0W | 94 days
Tomorrow.io88.3
89R - 5M - 0W | 94 days
Visual Crossing88.3
93R - 1M - 0W | 94 days
WeatherAPI85.8
82R - 10M - 2W | 94 days
OpenWeather85.5
79R - 11M - 3W | 93 days
National Weather Service81.9
69R - 23M - 2W | 94 days
Ray's Weather65.3
11R - 67M - 21W | 99 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | October 25, 2026

Banner Elk's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 57.8° / Lo: 35.3° | Wind: 6 mph | Rain: 0"

Overcast

MET Norwayday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

58.5° / 36.1°

Wind

6.3 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.7°

58.5° → 57.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.8°

36.1° → 35.3°

30/30

Wind | ±0.3 mph

6.3 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Open-MeteoFree

91.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

54.1° / 36.6°

Wind

7.4 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.7°

54.1° → 57.8°

21.9/30

Low temp | ±1.3°

36.6° → 35.3°

29.1/30

Wind | ±1.4 mph

7.4 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Visual CrossingFree

89.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

55.5° / 38.6°

Wind

5.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.3°

55.5° → 57.8°

26.1/30

Low temp | ±3.3°

38.6° → 35.3°

23.1/30

Wind | ±0.1 mph

5.9 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

GoogleFree

88.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

55.5° / 38.8°

Wind

6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.3°

55.5° → 57.8°

26.1/30

Low temp | ±3.5°

38.8° → 35.3°

22.5/30

Wind | ±0 mph

6 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

OpenWeatherFree

88.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

55.1° / 32.2°

Wind

3.2 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.7°

55.1° → 57.8°

24.9/30

Low temp | ±3.1°

32.2° → 35.3°

23.7/30

Wind | ±2.8 mph

3.2 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

86.8/100

Predicted hi / lo

52.4° / 35.4°

Wind

6.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±5.4°

52.4° → 57.8°

16.8/30

Low temp | ±0.1°

35.4° → 35.3°

30/30

Wind | ±0.9 mph

6.9 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

WeatherAPIFree

81.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

58.6° / 42.4°

Wind

6.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.8°

58.6° → 57.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±7.1°

42.4° → 35.3°

11.7/30

Wind | ±0.5 mph

6.5 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

80.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

54° / 40°

Wind

6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.8°

54° → 57.8°

21.6/30

Low temp | ±4.7°

40° → 35.3°

18.9/30

Wind | ±0 mph

6 mph → 6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

76.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

58° / 33°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.2°

58° → 57.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±2.3°

33° → 35.3°

26.1/30

Wind | not published

— → 6 mph

—

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Banner Elk

Here's what each forecast says for Monday, October 26: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	63°	38°	7 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	62°	33°	—	No precip
NWS	60°	44°	3 mph	No precip
Met.no	62°	51°	5 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	59°	56°	4 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	61°	45°	6 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	61°	34°	5 mph	No precip
Tomorrow.io	62°	42°	6 mph	No precip
Google Weather	63°	35°	5 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 63° / 38°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 62° / 33°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 60° / 44°
Wind: 3 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 62° / 51°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 59° / 56°
Wind: 4 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 61° / 45°
Wind: 6 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 61° / 34°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 62° / 42°
Wind: 6 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 63° / 35°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: Rain