53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Spruce Pine

Name: Spruce Pine, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Spruce Pine is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Spruce Pine stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Spruce Pine's forecast

Spruce Pine Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Spruce Pine, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Google	95.3	44	44R - 0M - 0W
Dave's Sweater Indexours	94.9	46	46R - 0M - 0W
MET Norway	93.1	46	44R - 2M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	89.6	44	42R - 2M - 0W
Open-Meteo	89.0	46	44R - 2M - 0W
Visual Crossing	88.3	44	42R - 2M - 0W
WeatherAPI	83.4	44	40R - 3M - 1W
OpenWeather	79.8	43	31R - 10M - 2W
National Weather Service	78.8	46	29R - 16M - 1W
Ray's Weather	64.2	53	3R - 37M - 13W

Google95.3
44R - 0M - 0W | 44 days
Dave's Sweater Indexours94.9
46R - 0M - 0W | 46 days
MET Norway93.1
44R - 2M - 0W | 46 days
Tomorrow.io89.6
42R - 2M - 0W | 44 days
Open-Meteo89.0
44R - 2M - 0W | 46 days
Visual Crossing88.3
42R - 2M - 0W | 44 days
WeatherAPI83.4
40R - 3M - 1W | 44 days
OpenWeather79.8
31R - 10M - 2W | 43 days
National Weather Service78.8
29R - 16M - 1W | 46 days
Ray's Weather64.2
3R - 37M - 13W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

Spruce Pine's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 78.7° / Lo: 56.7° | Wind: 6.8 mph | Rain: 0.02"

Light drizzle

MET Norwayday's bestFree

99.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.6° / 57.9°

Wind

6.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.1°

78.6° → 78.7°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.2°

57.9° → 56.7°

29.4/30

Wind | ±0.3 mph

6.5 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0.01" → 0.02"

20/20

GoogleFree

99.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.4° / 57.9°

Wind

5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.7°

79.4° → 78.7°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.2°

57.9° → 56.7°

29.4/30

Wind | ±1.8 mph

5 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0.01" → 0.02"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

96.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.7° / 56.8°

Wind

8.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1°

79.7° → 78.7°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.1°

56.8° → 56.7°

30/30

Wind | ±2.1 mph

8.9 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Open-MeteoFree

95.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.9° / 57.7°

Wind

9.6 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.2°

79.9° → 78.7°

29.4/30

Low temp | ±1°

57.7° → 56.7°

30/30

Wind | ±2.8 mph

9.6 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Visual CrossingFree

93.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.1° / 60°

Wind

5.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.6°

78.1° → 78.7°

30/30

Low temp | ±3.3°

60° → 56.7°

23.1/30

Wind | ±1.7 mph

5.1 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0.04" → 0.02"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

84.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

80° / 60°

Wind

2 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.3°

80° → 78.7°

29.1/30

Low temp | ±3.3°

60° → 56.7°

23.1/30

Wind | ±4.8 mph

2 mph → 6.8 mph

16.4/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

WeatherAPIFree

82.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

84° / 57.9°

Wind

5.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±5.3°

84° → 78.7°

17.1/30

Low temp | ±1.2°

57.9° → 56.7°

29.4/30

Wind | ±1.7 mph

5.1 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

OpenWeatherFree

76.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

76° / 62.5°

Wind

4.3 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.7°

76° → 78.7°

24.9/30

Low temp | ±5.8°

62.5° → 56.7°

15.6/30

Wind | ±2.5 mph

4.3 mph → 6.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

71.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

81° / 58°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.3°

81° → 78.7°

26.1/30

Low temp | ±1.3°

58° → 56.7°

29.1/30

Wind | not published

— → 6.8 mph

—

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Spruce Pine

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	85°	61°	12 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	85°	60°	—	No precip
NWS	83°	62°	2 mph	No precip
Met.no	83°	73°	10 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	86°	72°	3 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	86°	62°	8 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	82°	62°	7 mph	No precip
Tomorrow.io	85°	60°	12 mph	No precip
Google Weather	83°	60°	8 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 85° / 61°
Wind: 12 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 85° / 60°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 83° / 62°
Wind: 2 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 83° / 73°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 86° / 72°
Wind: 3 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 86° / 62°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 82° / 62°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 85° / 60°
Wind: 12 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 83° / 60°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: Rain