100 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Deep Gap

Name: Deep Gap, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Deep Gap is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Deep Gap stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Deep Gap's forecast

Deep Gap Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Deep Gap, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	95.0	96	96R - 0M - 0W
Google	92.1	95	94R - 1M - 0W
MET Norway	92.0	96	91R - 4M - 1W
Open-Meteo	89.3	96	94R - 2M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	89.0	95	92R - 3M - 0W
Visual Crossing	87.3	95	87R - 8M - 0W
OpenWeather	86.7	94	81R - 9M - 4W
WeatherAPI	85.5	95	85R - 8M - 2W
National Weather Service	82.5	96	75R - 20M - 1W
Ray's Weather	61.9	100	4R - 53M - 43W

Dave's Sweater Indexours95.0
96R - 0M - 0W | 96 days
Google92.1
94R - 1M - 0W | 95 days
MET Norway92.0
91R - 4M - 1W | 96 days
Open-Meteo89.3
94R - 2M - 0W | 96 days
Tomorrow.io89.0
92R - 3M - 0W | 95 days
Visual Crossing87.3
87R - 8M - 0W | 95 days
OpenWeather86.7
81R - 9M - 4W | 94 days
WeatherAPI85.5
85R - 8M - 2W | 95 days
National Weather Service82.5
75R - 20M - 1W | 96 days
Ray's Weather61.9
4R - 53M - 43W | 100 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | October 25, 2026

Deep Gap's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 56.8° / Lo: 39.4° | Wind: 5.4 mph | Rain: 0"

Overcast

Googleday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

57.7° / 39.6°

Wind

5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.9°

57.7° → 56.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

39.6° → 39.4°

30/30

Wind | ±0.4 mph

5 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

MET NorwayFree

94.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

54.9° / 37.4°

Wind

6.3 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.9°

54.9° → 56.8°

27.3/30

Low temp | ±2°

37.4° → 39.4°

27/30

Wind | ±0.9 mph

6.3 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

92.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

59° / 37°

Wind

5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.2°

59° → 56.8°

26.4/30

Low temp | ±2.4°

37° → 39.4°

25.8/30

Wind | ±0.4 mph

5 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Open-MeteoFree

91.9/100

Predicted hi / lo

54.7° / 36.8°

Wind

6.6 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.1°

54.7° → 56.8°

26.7/30

Low temp | ±2.6°

36.8° → 39.4°

25.2/30

Wind | ±1.2 mph

6.6 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Visual CrossingFree

91.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

57.1° / 35.6°

Wind

5.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.3°

57.1° → 56.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±3.8°

35.6° → 39.4°

21.6/30

Wind | ±0.5 mph

5.9 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

WeatherAPIFree

91.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

58.3° / 35.9°

Wind

5.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.5°

58.3° → 56.8°

28.5/30

Low temp | ±3.5°

35.9° → 39.4°

22.5/30

Wind | ±0.3 mph

5.1 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

90.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

53.7° / 41.6°

Wind

6.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.1°

53.7° → 56.8°

23.7/30

Low temp | ±2.2°

41.6° → 39.4°

26.4/30

Wind | ±1.5 mph

6.9 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

OpenWeatherFree

86.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

56° / 33.8°

Wind

5.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.8°

56° → 56.8°

30/30

Low temp | ±5.6°

33.8° → 39.4°

16.2/30

Wind | ±0.2 mph

5.6 mph → 5.4 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

63.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

59° / 34°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.2°

59° → 56.8°

26.4/30

Low temp | ±5.4°

34° → 39.4°

16.8/30

Wind | not published

— → 5.4 mph

—

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Deep Gap

Here's what each forecast says for Monday, October 26: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	63°	36°	7 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	65°	34°	—	No precip
NWS	66°	43°	2 mph	No precip
Met.no	62°	51°	5 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	63°	60°	3 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	65°	39°	5 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	65°	32°	5 mph	No precip
Tomorrow.io	61°	39°	7 mph	No precip
Google Weather	65°	35°	5 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 63° / 36°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 65° / 34°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 66° / 43°
Wind: 2 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 62° / 51°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 63° / 60°
Wind: 3 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 65° / 39°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 65° / 32°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 61° / 39°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 65° / 35°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: Rain