53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Todd

Name: Todd, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Todd is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Todd stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Todd's forecast

Todd Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Todd, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
MET Norway	95.6	46	44R - 2M - 0W
Dave's Sweater Indexours	94.7	46	46R - 0M - 0W
Visual Crossing	91.4	44	44R - 0M - 0W
Google	90.8	44	44R - 0M - 0W
Open-Meteo	89.2	46	45R - 1M - 0W
WeatherAPI	86.6	44	41R - 2M - 1W
Tomorrow.io	86.0	44	41R - 3M - 0W
OpenWeather	85.6	43	35R - 7M - 1W
National Weather Service	79.1	46	32R - 12M - 2W
Ray's Weather	57.2	53	1R - 22M - 30W

MET Norway95.6
44R - 2M - 0W | 46 days
Dave's Sweater Indexours94.7
46R - 0M - 0W | 46 days
Visual Crossing91.4
44R - 0M - 0W | 44 days
Google90.8
44R - 0M - 0W | 44 days
Open-Meteo89.2
45R - 1M - 0W | 46 days
WeatherAPI86.6
41R - 2M - 1W | 44 days
Tomorrow.io86.0
41R - 3M - 0W | 44 days
OpenWeather85.6
35R - 7M - 1W | 43 days
National Weather Service79.1
32R - 12M - 2W | 46 days
Ray's Weather57.2
1R - 22M - 30W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

Todd's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 78.2° / Lo: 58.3° | Wind: 7.3 mph | Rain: 0.008"

Light drizzle

MET Norwayday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.4° / 58.1°

Wind

8.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.2°

78.4° → 78.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

58.1° → 58.3°

30/30

Wind | ±0.8 mph

8.1 mph → 7.3 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0.01"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

93.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

78° / 59°

Wind

3 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.2°

78° → 78.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.7°

59° → 58.3°

30/30

Wind | ±4.3 mph

3 mph → 7.3 mph

17.4/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

WeatherAPIFree

93.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.6° / 56.7°

Wind

3.8 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.4°

78.6° → 78.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.6°

56.7° → 58.3°

28.2/30

Wind | ±3.5 mph

3.8 mph → 7.3 mph

19/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

GoogleFree

92.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

77.9° / 55°

Wind

4 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.3°

77.9° → 78.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±3.3°

55° → 58.3°

23.1/30

Wind | ±3.3 mph

4 mph → 7.3 mph

19.4/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

20/20

Open-MeteoFree

90.9/100

Predicted hi / lo

77.7° / 55.6°

Wind

4.5 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.5°

77.7° → 78.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±2.7°

55.6° → 58.3°

24.9/30

Wind | ±2.8 mph

4.5 mph → 7.3 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

87.9/100

Predicted hi / lo

76.5° / 55.3°

Wind

5.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.7°

76.5° → 78.2°

27.9/30

Low temp | ±3°

55.3° → 58.3°

24/30

Wind | ±1.7 mph

5.6 mph → 7.3 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

Visual CrossingFree

86.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

75.6° / 55.6°

Wind

4.4 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.6°

75.6° → 78.2°

25.2/30

Low temp | ±2.7°

55.6° → 58.3°

24.9/30

Wind | ±2.9 mph

4.4 mph → 7.3 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

OpenWeatherFree

79.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

72.7° / 59.5°

Wind

2.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±5.5°

72.7° → 78.2°

16.5/30

Low temp | ±1.2°

59.5° → 58.3°

29.4/30

Wind | ±4.4 mph

2.9 mph → 7.3 mph

17.2/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

69.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

81° / 57°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.8°

81° → 78.2°

24.6/30

Low temp | ±1.3°

57° → 58.3°

29.1/30

Wind | not published

— → 7.3 mph

—

Precip | ±0.01"

0" → 0.01"

16/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Todd

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	79°	62°	14 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	84°	58°	—	No precip
NWS	81°	62°	5 mph	No precip
Met.no	79°	72°	13 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	80°	70°	10 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	82°	62°	11 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	78°	60°	17 mph	No precip
Tomorrow.io	78°	62°	13 mph	No precip
Google Weather	81°	62°	10 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 79° / 62°
Wind: 14 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 84° / 58°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 81° / 62°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 79° / 72°
Wind: 13 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 80° / 70°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 82° / 62°
Wind: 11 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 78° / 60°
Wind: 17 mph
Precip: No precip

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 78° / 62°
Wind: 13 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 81° / 62°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: Rain