53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Burnsville

Name: Burnsville, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Burnsville is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Burnsville stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Burnsville's forecast

Burnsville Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Burnsville, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	95.1	46	46R - 0M - 0W
Google	92.6	44	44R - 0M - 0W
MET Norway	91.9	46	44R - 1M - 1W
Tomorrow.io	91.3	43	42R - 1M - 0W
Open-Meteo	90.4	46	45R - 1M - 0W
WeatherAPI	88.0	44	43R - 0M - 1W
National Weather Service	81.7	46	34R - 12M - 0W
OpenWeather	81.6	43	30R - 11M - 2W
Visual Crossing	80.9	44	35R - 9M - 0W
Ray's Weather	65.6	53	6R - 34M - 13W

Dave's Sweater Indexours95.1
46R - 0M - 0W | 46 days
Google92.6
44R - 0M - 0W | 44 days
MET Norway91.9
44R - 1M - 1W | 46 days
Tomorrow.io91.3
42R - 1M - 0W | 43 days
Open-Meteo90.4
45R - 1M - 0W | 46 days
WeatherAPI88.0
43R - 0M - 1W | 44 days
National Weather Service81.7
34R - 12M - 0W | 46 days
OpenWeather81.6
30R - 11M - 2W | 43 days
Visual Crossing80.9
35R - 9M - 0W | 44 days
Ray's Weather65.6
6R - 34M - 13W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

Burnsville's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 82.4° / Lo: 57.1° | Wind: 4.5 mph | Rain: 0"

Overcast

MET Norwayday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

81.5° / 57.7°

Wind

5.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.9°

81.5° → 82.4°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.6°

57.7° → 57.1°

30/30

Wind | ±1.1 mph

5.6 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

99.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

82.6° / 56°

Wind

7.3 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.2°

82.6° → 82.4°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.1°

56° → 57.1°

29.7/30

Wind | ±2.8 mph

7.3 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

97.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

83° / 59°

Wind

2 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.6°

83° → 82.4°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.9°

59° → 57.1°

27.3/30

Wind | ±2.5 mph

2 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Open-MeteoFree

96.8/100

Predicted hi / lo

82.7° / 56.9°

Wind

9.1 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.3°

82.7° → 82.4°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

56.9° → 57.1°

30/30

Wind | ±4.6 mph

9.1 mph → 4.5 mph

16.8/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

GoogleFree

96.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

80.2° / 57°

Wind

4 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.2°

80.2° → 82.4°

26.4/30

Low temp | ±0.1°

57° → 57.1°

30/30

Wind | ±0.5 mph

4 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

WeatherAPIFree

96.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

84.2° / 58.5°

Wind

3.4 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.8°

84.2° → 82.4°

27.6/30

Low temp | ±1.4°

58.5° → 57.1°

28.8/30

Wind | ±1.1 mph

3.4 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Visual CrossingFree

83.8/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.6° / 61.7°

Wind

3.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.8°

79.6° → 82.4°

24.6/30

Low temp | ±4.6°

61.7° → 57.1°

19.2/30

Wind | ±1.4 mph

3.1 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.01"

0.01" → 0"

20/20

Ray's WeatherPaid

77.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

82° / 59°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.4°

82° → 82.4°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.9°

59° → 57.1°

27.3/30

Wind | not published

— → 4.5 mph

—

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

OpenWeatherday's worstFree

66.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

75.9° / 63.7°

Wind

1.7 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±6.5°

75.9° → 82.4°

13.5/30

Low temp | ±6.6°

63.7° → 57.1°

13.2/30

Wind | ±2.8 mph

1.7 mph → 4.5 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Burnsville

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	85°	62°	10 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	86°	63°	—	No precip
NWS	85°	62°	3 mph	No precip
Met.no	83°	74°	8 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	85°	72°	7 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	83°	63°	10 mph	Rain
Visual Crossing	82°	62°	7 mph	Rain
Tomorrow.io	84°	59°	9 mph	No precip
Google Weather	83°	59°	8 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 85° / 62°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 86° / 63°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 85° / 62°
Wind: 3 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 83° / 74°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 85° / 72°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 83° / 63°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: Rain

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 82° / 62°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: Rain

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 84° / 59°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 83° / 59°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: Rain