53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Foscoe

Name: Foscoe, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Foscoe is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Foscoe stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Foscoe's forecast

Foscoe Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Foscoe, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	95.9	47	47R - 0M - 0W
MET Norway	93.7	47	45R - 2M - 0W
Google	93.7	45	45R - 0M - 0W
Visual Crossing	92.0	45	45R - 0M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	89.7	45	43R - 2M - 0W
Open-Meteo	88.7	47	45R - 2M - 0W
OpenWeather	84.5	44	35R - 6M - 3W
National Weather Service	81.1	47	33R - 14M - 0W
WeatherAPI	68.8	45	15R - 23M - 7W
Ray's Weather	59.7	53	1R - 26M - 26W

Dave's Sweater Indexours95.9
47R - 0M - 0W | 47 days
MET Norway93.7
45R - 2M - 0W | 47 days
Google93.7
45R - 0M - 0W | 45 days
Visual Crossing92.0
45R - 0M - 0W | 45 days
Tomorrow.io89.7
43R - 2M - 0W | 45 days
Open-Meteo88.7
45R - 2M - 0W | 47 days
OpenWeather84.5
35R - 6M - 3W | 44 days
National Weather Service81.1
33R - 14M - 0W | 47 days
WeatherAPI68.8
15R - 23M - 7W | 45 days
Ray's Weather59.7
1R - 26M - 26W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

Foscoe's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 76.2° / Lo: 56.9° | Wind: 5.8 mph | Rain: 0.031"

Light drizzle

Visual Crossingday's bestFree

98.8/100

Predicted hi / lo

75.2° / 55.5°

Wind

4.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1°

75.2° → 76.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.4°

55.5° → 56.9°

28.8/30

Wind | ±0.9 mph

4.9 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0.01" → 0.03"

20/20

GoogleFree

97.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

77.4° / 55.3°

Wind

4 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.2°

77.4° → 76.2°

29.4/30

Low temp | ±1.6°

55.3° → 56.9°

28.2/30

Wind | ±1.8 mph

4 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0.01" → 0.03"

20/20

MET NorwayFree

97.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.1° / 57.2°

Wind

8.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.9°

78.1° → 76.2°

27.3/30

Low temp | ±0.3°

57.2° → 56.9°

30/30

Wind | ±2.3 mph

8.1 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

20/20

Open-MeteoFree

96.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

76.8° / 57.1°

Wind

7.5 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.6°

76.8° → 76.2°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

57.1° → 56.9°

30/30

Wind | ±1.7 mph

7.5 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

92.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

75° / 57.1°

Wind

10.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.2°

75° → 76.2°

29.4/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

57.1° → 56.9°

30/30

Wind | ±4.7 mph

10.5 mph → 5.8 mph

16.6/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

National Weather ServiceFree

86.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

75° / 59°

Wind

0 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.2°

75° → 76.2°

29.4/30

Low temp | ±2.1°

59° → 56.9°

26.7/30

Wind | ±5.8 mph

0 mph → 5.8 mph

14.4/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

OpenWeatherFree

78.9/100

Predicted hi / lo

71.1° / 59.5°

Wind

3.7 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±5.1°

71.1° → 76.2°

17.7/30

Low temp | ±2.6°

59.5° → 56.9°

25.2/30

Wind | ±2.1 mph

3.7 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

WeatherAPIFree

77.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.9° / 61.3°

Wind

6.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.7°

79.9° → 76.2°

21.9/30

Low temp | ±4.4°

61.3° → 56.9°

19.8/30

Wind | ±0.7 mph

6.5 mph → 5.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

70.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

79° / 58°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.8°

79° → 76.2°

24.6/30

Low temp | ±1.1°

58° → 56.9°

29.7/30

Wind | not published

— → 5.8 mph

—

Precip | ±0.03"

0" → 0.03"

16/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Foscoe

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	81°	59°	9 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	83°	59°	—	No precip
NWS	78°	62°	6 mph	No precip
Met.no	79°	72°	12 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	79°	69°	5 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	86°	67°	6 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	79°	60°	10 mph	No precip
Tomorrow.io	79°	60°	10 mph	No precip
Google Weather	81°	59°	9 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 81° / 59°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 83° / 59°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 78° / 62°
Wind: 6 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 79° / 72°
Wind: 12 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 79° / 69°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 86° / 67°
Wind: 6 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 79° / 60°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 79° / 60°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 81° / 59°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: Rain