Tracking since July 19, 2026 | 8 of 9 days

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Bakersville

Name: Bakersville, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Bakersville is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Bakersville stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Bakersville's forecast

Switch town

This board is provisional. Bakersville has 8 of 9 scored days. The numbers below are real, just early. They graduate to an established record once the count crosses 9, the same gate every source on the site clears.

Bakersville Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Bakersville, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record	Trend
Dave's Sweater Indexours	93.0	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
Open-Meteo	79.8	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
National Weather Service	73.9	1	0R - 1M - 0W	—
MET Norway	63.8	1	0R - 1M - 0W	—
Ray's Weather	60.9	8	0R - 4M - 4W

Dave's Sweater Indexours93.0
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
Open-Meteo79.8
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
National Weather Service73.9
0R - 1M - 0W | 1 days—
MET Norway63.8
0R - 1M - 0W | 1 days—
Ray's Weather60.9
0R - 4M - 4W | 8 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | July 26, 2026

Bakersville's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 79.3° / Lo: 65.4° | Wind: 6.8 mph | Rain: 0.205"

Slight rain

Ray's WeatherPaid

57.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

82° / 62°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp · ±2.7°

82° → 79.3°

24.9/30

Low temp · ±3.4°

62° → 65.4°

22.8/30

Wind · not published

— → 6.8 mph

—

Precip · —

— → 0.21"

10/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Bakersville

Here's what each forecast says for Tuesday, July 28: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	86°	66°	14 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	83°	63°	—	Rain
NWSnew	86°	64°	0 mph	Rain
Met.nonew	84°	60°	15 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 86° / 66°
Wind: 14 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 83° / 63°
Wind: —
Precip: Rain

NWSnew

Hi / Lo: 86° / 64°
Wind: 0 mph
Precip: Rain

Met.nonew

Hi / Lo: 84° / 60°
Wind: 15 mph
Precip: Rain