53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | West Jefferson

Name: West Jefferson, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for West Jefferson is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. West Jefferson stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓West Jefferson's forecast

West Jefferson Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for West Jefferson, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	94.9	46	46R - 0M - 0W
MET Norway	94.2	46	44R - 1M - 1W
Visual Crossing	93.8	44	44R - 0M - 0W
Google	92.9	44	43R - 1M - 0W
Open-Meteo	91.0	46	45R - 1M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	89.3	44	41R - 3M - 0W
WeatherAPI	85.0	44	40R - 2M - 2W
National Weather Service	80.7	46	32R - 13M - 1W
OpenWeather	79.1	43	31R - 8M - 4W
Ray's Weather	65.0	53	4R - 35M - 14W

Dave's Sweater Indexours94.9
46R - 0M - 0W | 46 days
MET Norway94.2
44R - 1M - 1W | 46 days
Visual Crossing93.8
44R - 0M - 0W | 44 days
Google92.9
43R - 1M - 0W | 44 days
Open-Meteo91.0
45R - 1M - 0W | 46 days
Tomorrow.io89.3
41R - 3M - 0W | 44 days
WeatherAPI85.0
40R - 2M - 2W | 44 days
National Weather Service80.7
32R - 13M - 1W | 46 days
OpenWeather79.1
31R - 8M - 4W | 43 days
Ray's Weather65.0
4R - 35M - 14W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

West Jefferson's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 78° / Lo: 57.4° | Wind: 7.6 mph | Rain: 0.059"

Moderate drizzle

Googleday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

78.5° / 57°

Wind

6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.5°

78.5° → 78°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.4°

57° → 57.4°

30/30

Wind | ±1.6 mph

6 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

20/20

MET NorwayFree

97.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.2° / 55.8°

Wind

7.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.2°

79.2° → 78°

29.4/30

Low temp | ±1.6°

55.8° → 57.4°

28.2/30

Wind | ±0 mph

7.6 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.05"

0.01" → 0.06"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

96.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

77.9° / 57°

Wind

7.1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.1°

77.9° → 78°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.4°

57° → 57.4°

30/30

Wind | ±0.5 mph

7.1 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

Visual CrossingFree

96.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

77.3° / 57°

Wind

4.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.7°

77.3° → 78°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.4°

57° → 57.4°

30/30

Wind | ±2.7 mph

4.9 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

Open-MeteoFree

95.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

79.3° / 57.3°

Wind

7.6 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.3°

79.3° → 78°

29.1/30

Low temp | ±0.1°

57.3° → 57.4°

30/30

Wind | ±0 mph

7.6 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

National Weather ServiceFree

84.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

79° / 60°

Wind

1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1°

79° → 78°

30/30

Low temp | ±2.6°

60° → 57.4°

25.2/30

Wind | ±6.6 mph

1 mph → 7.6 mph

12.8/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

WeatherAPIFree

80.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

84° / 56.3°

Wind

4.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±6°

84° → 78°

15/30

Low temp | ±1.1°

56.3° → 57.4°

29.7/30

Wind | ±2.7 mph

4.9 mph → 7.6 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

OpenWeatherFree

78.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

71.3° / 57.3°

Wind

2.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±6.7°

71.3° → 78°

12.9/30

Low temp | ±0.1°

57.3° → 57.4°

30/30

Wind | ±5.1 mph

2.5 mph → 7.6 mph

15.8/20

Precip | ±0.05"

0.01" → 0.06"

20/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

71.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

80° / 59°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2°

80° → 78°

27/30

Low temp | ±1.6°

59° → 57.4°

28.2/30

Wind | not published

— → 7.6 mph

—

Precip | ±0.06"

0" → 0.06"

16/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for West Jefferson

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	80°	64°	18 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	82°	61°	—	No precip
NWS	81°	62°	9 mph	No precip
Met.no	81°	73°	14 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	80°	68°	10 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	84°	61°	11 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	79°	63°	20 mph	Rain
Tomorrow.io	79°	63°	18 mph	No precip
Google Weather	81°	63°	12 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 80° / 64°
Wind: 18 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 82° / 61°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 81° / 62°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 81° / 73°
Wind: 14 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 80° / 68°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 84° / 61°
Wind: 11 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 79° / 63°
Wind: 20 mph
Precip: Rain

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 79° / 63°
Wind: 18 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 81° / 63°
Wind: 12 mph
Precip: Rain