53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Beech Mountain

Name: Beech Mountain, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Beech Mountain is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Beech Mountain stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Beech Mountain's forecast

Beech Mountain Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Beech Mountain, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	86.4	48	47R - 1M - 0W
Open-Meteo	85.7	48	43R - 5M - 0W
MET Norway	85.6	48	43R - 5M - 0W
National Weather Service	82.0	48	39R - 8M - 1W
OpenWeather	81.7	47	35R - 10M - 2W
Tomorrow.io	80.7	48	34R - 13M - 1W
Google	76.4	48	28R - 20M - 0W
WeatherAPI	71.0	48	17R - 24M - 7W
Visual Crossing	70.8	48	18R - 23M - 7W
Ray's Weather	60.8	53	0R - 32M - 21W

Dave's Sweater Indexours86.4
47R - 1M - 0W | 48 days
Open-Meteo85.7
43R - 5M - 0W | 48 days
MET Norway85.6
43R - 5M - 0W | 48 days
National Weather Service82.0
39R - 8M - 1W | 48 days
OpenWeather81.7
35R - 10M - 2W | 47 days
Tomorrow.io80.7
34R - 13M - 1W | 48 days
Google76.4
28R - 20M - 0W | 48 days
WeatherAPI71.0
17R - 24M - 7W | 48 days
Visual Crossing70.8
18R - 23M - 7W | 48 days
Ray's Weather60.8
0R - 32M - 21W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

Beech Mountain's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 71° / Lo: 50.7° | Wind: 8.8 mph | Rain: 0.004"

Light drizzle

Open-Meteoday's bestFree

95.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

68.4° / 50.7°

Wind

8 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.6°

68.4° → 71°

25.2/30

Low temp | ±0°

50.7° → 50.7°

30/30

Wind | ±0.8 mph

8 mph → 8.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

MET NorwayFree

94.3/100

Predicted hi / lo

73.9° / 51.6°

Wind

7.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2.9°

73.9° → 71°

24.3/30

Low temp | ±0.9°

51.6° → 50.7°

30/30

Wind | ±1.2 mph

7.6 mph → 8.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

WeatherAPIFree

87.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

74.8° / 52.9°

Wind

5.6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.8°

74.8° → 71°

21.6/30

Low temp | ±2.2°

52.9° → 50.7°

26.4/30

Wind | ±3.2 mph

5.6 mph → 8.8 mph

19.6/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

87.4/100

Predicted hi / lo

72.1° / 55.8°

Wind

8.7 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.1°

72.1° → 71°

29.7/30

Low temp | ±5.1°

55.8° → 50.7°

17.7/30

Wind | ±0.1 mph

8.7 mph → 8.8 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

GoogleFree

81.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

74.4° / 55.1°

Wind

5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.4°

74.4° → 71°

22.8/30

Low temp | ±4.4°

55.1° → 50.7°

19.8/30

Wind | ±3.8 mph

5 mph → 8.8 mph

18.4/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

79.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

69° / 57°

Wind

5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2°

69° → 71°

27/30

Low temp | ±6.3°

57° → 50.7°

14.1/30

Wind | ±3.8 mph

5 mph → 8.8 mph

18.4/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Visual CrossingFree

71.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

75.6° / 57.7°

Wind

5.7 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±4.6°

75.6° → 71°

19.2/30

Low temp | ±7°

57.7° → 50.7°

12/30

Wind | ±3.1 mph

5.7 mph → 8.8 mph

19.8/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0.02" → 0"

20/20

OpenWeatherFree

65.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

65° / 56°

Wind

2.5 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±6°

65° → 71°

15/30

Low temp | ±5.3°

56° → 50.7°

17.1/30

Wind | ±6.3 mph

2.5 mph → 8.8 mph

13.4/20

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

55.1/100

Predicted hi / lo

73° / 59°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±2°

73° → 71°

27/30

Low temp | ±8.3°

59° → 50.7°

8.1/30

Wind | not published

— → 8.8 mph

—

Precip | ±0"

0" → 0"

20/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Beech Mountain

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	70°	55°	18 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	73°	58°	—	No precip
NWS	71°	60°	6 mph	No precip
Met.no	75°	68°	12 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	72°	64°	7 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	81°	57°	10 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	77°	61°	10 mph	Rain
Tomorrow.io	74°	59°	15 mph	No precip
Google Weather	77°	59°	10 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 70° / 55°
Wind: 18 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 73° / 58°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 71° / 60°
Wind: 6 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 75° / 68°
Wind: 12 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 72° / 64°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 81° / 57°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 77° / 61°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: Rain

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 74° / 59°
Wind: 15 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 77° / 59°
Wind: 10 mph
Precip: Rain