53 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | North Wilkesboro

Name: North Wilkesboro, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for North Wilkesboro is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. North Wilkesboro stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓North Wilkesboro's forecast

North Wilkesboro Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for North Wilkesboro, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record
Dave's Sweater Indexours	94.7	46	46R - 0M - 0W
Google	92.2	44	42R - 2M - 0W
MET Norway	92.1	46	42R - 4M - 0W
Visual Crossing	88.7	44	40R - 4M - 0W
Tomorrow.io	87.0	44	40R - 4M - 0W
Open-Meteo	86.4	46	40R - 6M - 0W
WeatherAPI	83.0	44	34R - 8M - 2W
OpenWeather	81.0	43	30R - 12M - 1W
National Weather Service	79.7	46	29R - 16M - 1W
Ray's Weather	66.3	53	5R - 38M - 10W

Dave's Sweater Indexours94.7
46R - 0M - 0W | 46 days
Google92.2
42R - 2M - 0W | 44 days
MET Norway92.1
42R - 4M - 0W | 46 days
Visual Crossing88.7
40R - 4M - 0W | 44 days
Tomorrow.io87.0
40R - 4M - 0W | 44 days
Open-Meteo86.4
40R - 6M - 0W | 46 days
WeatherAPI83.0
34R - 8M - 2W | 44 days
OpenWeather81.0
30R - 12M - 1W | 43 days
National Weather Service79.7
29R - 16M - 1W | 46 days
Ray's Weather66.3
5R - 38M - 10W | 53 days

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | September 9, 2026

North Wilkesboro's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 84.5° / Lo: 61.5° | Wind: 5.9 mph | Rain: 0.024"

Light drizzle

MET Norwayday's bestFree

100.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

85.3° / 61.3°

Wind

7.8 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.8°

85.3° → 84.5°

30/30

Low temp | ±0.2°

61.3° → 61.5°

30/30

Wind | ±1.9 mph

7.8 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0.01" → 0.02"

20/20

GoogleFree

94.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

85.9° / 58.9°

Wind

6 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±1.4°

85.9° → 84.5°

28.8/30

Low temp | ±2.6°

58.9° → 61.5°

25.2/30

Wind | ±0.1 mph

6 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

20/20

National Weather ServiceFree

90.7/100

Predicted hi / lo

85° / 63°

Wind

1 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.5°

85° → 84.5°

30/30

Low temp | ±1.5°

63° → 61.5°

28.5/30

Wind | ±4.9 mph

1 mph → 5.9 mph

16.2/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Visual CrossingFree

90.6/100

Predicted hi / lo

84.2° / 58.7°

Wind

5.2 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.3°

84.2° → 84.5°

30/30

Low temp | ±2.8°

58.7° → 61.5°

24.6/30

Wind | ±0.7 mph

5.2 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Open-MeteoFree

88.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

87.7° / 60.1°

Wind

6.5 mph

Rain

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.2°

87.7° → 84.5°

23.4/30

Low temp | ±1.4°

60.1° → 61.5°

28.8/30

Wind | ±0.6 mph

6.5 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

OpenWeatherFree

87.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

83.8° / 65.5°

Wind

4.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.7°

83.8° → 84.5°

30/30

Low temp | ±4°

65.5° → 61.5°

21/30

Wind | ±1 mph

4.9 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Tomorrow.ioFree

85.2/100

Predicted hi / lo

87.7° / 59.1°

Wind

6.8 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±3.2°

87.7° → 84.5°

23.4/30

Low temp | ±2.4°

59.1° → 61.5°

25.8/30

Wind | ±0.9 mph

6.8 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

WeatherAPIFree

81.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

90.5° / 61.2°

Wind

4.9 mph

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±6°

90.5° → 84.5°

15/30

Low temp | ±0.3°

61.2° → 61.5°

30/30

Wind | ±1 mph

4.9 mph → 5.9 mph

20/20

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid

71.5/100

Predicted hi / lo

85° / 64°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp | ±0.5°

85° → 84.5°

30/30

Low temp | ±2.5°

64° → 61.5°

25.5/30

Wind | not published

— → 5.9 mph

—

Precip | ±0.02"

0" → 0.02"

16/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for North Wilkesboro

Here's what each forecast says for Thursday, September 10: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	92°	64°	9 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	91°	68°	—	No precip
NWS	89°	66°	5 mph	No precip
Met.no	91°	78°	8 mph	No precip
OpenWeatherMap	92°	79°	8 mph	No precip
WeatherAPI	91°	67°	8 mph	No precip
Visual Crossing	89°	63°	7 mph	Rain
Tomorrow.io	92°	64°	9 mph	No precip
Google Weather	90°	63°	8 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 92° / 64°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 91° / 68°
Wind: —
Precip: No precip

NWS

Hi / Lo: 89° / 66°
Wind: 5 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.no

Hi / Lo: 91° / 78°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: No precip

OpenWeatherMap

Hi / Lo: 92° / 79°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: No precip

WeatherAPI

Hi / Lo: 91° / 67°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: No precip

Visual Crossing

Hi / Lo: 89° / 63°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: Rain

Tomorrow.io

Hi / Lo: 92° / 64°
Wind: 9 mph
Precip: No precip

Google Weather

Hi / Lo: 90° / 63°
Wind: 8 mph
Precip: Rain