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Dave's Sweater
9 days on the record

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Blowing Rock

Every forecast for Blowing Rock is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Blowing Rock stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Blowing Rock's forecast

Blowing Rock Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Blowing Rock, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

  • Dave's Sweater Indexours92.9
    9R - 0M - 0W | 9 days
  • Google90.4
    8R - 0M - 0W | 8 days
  • MET Norway88.3
    8R - 0M - 1W | 9 days
  • Tomorrow.io87.1
    6R - 2M - 0W | 8 days
  • Visual Crossing84.6
    7R - 1M - 0W | 8 days
  • Open-Meteo82.3
    7R - 2M - 0W | 9 days
  • OpenWeather81.1
    6R - 2M - 0W | 8 days
  • National Weather Service76.1
    5R - 4M - 0W | 9 days
  • WeatherAPI67.0
    0R - 7M - 1W | 8 days
  • Ray's Weather65.7
    0R - 8M - 1W | 9 days
R
Right, 75+
M
Meh, 60 to 74
W
Wrong, under 60
Trend
7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | July 26, 2026

Blowing Rock's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened
Hi: 76.1° / Lo: 63.1° | Wind: 7.9 mph | Rain: 0.146"
Moderate drizzle
OpenWeatherday's bestFree97.6/100
Predicted hi / lo
75.6° / 64.5°
Wind
4.3 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±0.5°
75.6° 76.1°
30/30
Low temp · ±1.4°
64.5° 63.1°
28.8/30
Wind · ±3.6 mph
4.3 mph 7.9 mph
18.8/20
Precip · ±0.08"
0.06" 0.15"
20/20
GoogleFree97.3/100
Predicted hi / lo
76.4° / 64.8°
Wind
6 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±0.3°
76.4° 76.1°
30/30
Low temp · ±1.7°
64.8° 63.1°
27.9/30
Wind · ±1.9 mph
6 mph 7.9 mph
20/20
Precip · ±0.13"
0.28" 0.15"
19.4/20
MET NorwayFree96.1/100
Predicted hi / lo
75.9° / 60.8°
Wind
9.2 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±0.2°
75.9° 76.1°
30/30
Low temp · ±2.3°
60.8° 63.1°
26.1/30
Wind · ±1.3 mph
9.2 mph 7.9 mph
20/20
Precip · ±0.06"
0.09" 0.15"
20/20
Tomorrow.ioFree87.9/100
Predicted hi / lo
74.3° / 62.7°
Wind
12.1 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±1.8°
74.3° 76.1°
27.6/30
Low temp · ±0.4°
62.7° 63.1°
30/30
Wind · ±4.2 mph
12.1 mph 7.9 mph
17.6/20
Precip · ±0.46"
0.61" 0.15"
12.7/20
Visual CrossingFree87.7/100
Predicted hi / lo
76.9° / 65°
Wind
2.2 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±0.8°
76.9° 76.1°
30/30
Low temp · ±1.9°
65° 63.1°
27.3/30
Wind · ±5.7 mph
2.2 mph 7.9 mph
14.6/20
Precip · ±0.31"
0.46" 0.15"
15.8/20
National Weather ServiceFree80.7/100
Predicted hi / lo
75° / 62°
Wind
1 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±1.1°
75° 76.1°
29.7/30
Low temp · ±1.1°
62° 63.1°
29.7/30
Wind · ±6.9 mph
1 mph 7.9 mph
12.2/20
Precip · ±0.15"
0" 0.15"
9.1/20
Open-MeteoFree77.6/100
Predicted hi / lo
74° / 63°
Wind
15 mph
Rain
0"
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±2.1°
74° 76.1°
26.7/30
Low temp · ±0.1°
63° 63.1°
30/30
Wind · ±7.1 mph
15 mph 7.9 mph
11.8/20
Precip · ±0.15"
0" 0.15"
9.1/20
WeatherAPIFree70.6/100
Predicted hi / lo
83.3° / 63.3°
Wind
4.5 mph
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±7.2°
83.3° 76.1°
11.4/30
Low temp · ±0.2°
63.3° 63.1°
30/30
Wind · ±3.4 mph
4.5 mph 7.9 mph
19.2/20
Precip · ±0.74"
0.89" 0.15"
10/20
Ray's Weatherday's worstPaid67.3/100
Predicted hi / lo
78° / 63°
Wind
Rain
Show the math ↓
Field
Predicted → actual
Pts
High temp · ±1.9°
78° 76.1°
27.3/30
Low temp · ±0.1°
63° 63.1°
30/30
Wind · not published
— → 7.9 mph
Precip ·
0.15"
10/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Blowing Rock

Here's what each forecast says for Tuesday, July 28: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Open-Meteo
Hi / Lo
79° / 66°
Wind
19 mph
Precip
Rain
Ray's Weather
Hi / Lo
79° / 64°
Wind
Precip
Rain
NWS
Hi / Lo
79° / 63°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
Met.no
Hi / Lo
79° / 60°
Wind
16 mph
Precip
Rain
OpenWeatherMapnew
Hi / Lo
78° / 65°
Wind
11 mph
Precip
Rain
WeatherAPInew
Hi / Lo
92° / 65°
Wind
13 mph
Precip
Rain
Visual Crossingnew
Hi / Lo
82° / 68°
Wind
16 mph
Precip
Rain
Tomorrow.ionew
Hi / Lo
79° / 65°
Wind
19 mph
Precip
Rain
Google Weathernew
Hi / Lo
78° / 65°
Wind
13 mph
Precip
Rain