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Dave's Sweater
Watauga County | 3,573 ft

Blowing Rock weather

A real Blowing Rock forecast, not a stamped regional copy. Every source we track, pulled at Blowing Rock's own coordinates, blended into one consensus and graded daily against Blowing Rock's own actuals.

Dave's Sweater Index | Mon, Oct 26
High 63° | Low 43° | No precip
The average of 8 independent (and free) forecasters
The forecast belongs to everybody. The sweater call is yours.

Sweater Weather Index

You could go either way. Bring it and decide later.

Layers to consider: 0-1

The 5-day | Blowing Rock

Mon
Oct 26
Dry, cool
Wind: 6 mph
63° 43°
Tue
Oct 27
Dry, cool
Wind: 6 mph
63° 45°
Wed
Oct 28
Dry, cool
Wind: 5 mph
60° 43°
Thu
Oct 29
Dry, cool
Wind: 5 mph
64° 45°
Fri
Oct 30
Dry, mild
Wind: 7 mph
68° 47°

See the scoreboard|How we grade

What they're predicting for Blowing Rock

Here's what each forecast says for Monday, October 26: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Open-Meteo
Hi / Lo
60° / 39°
Wind
12 mph
Precip
No precip
Ray's Weather
Hi / Lo
65° / 38°
Wind
—
Precip
No precip
NWS
Hi / Lo
62° / 46°
Wind
2 mph
Precip
No precip
Met.no
Hi / Lo
62° / 50°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
OpenWeatherMap
Hi / Lo
59° / 58°
Wind
4 mph
Precip
No precip
WeatherAPI
Hi / Lo
71° / 41°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
Visual Crossing
Hi / Lo
63° / 31°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
Tomorrow.io
Hi / Lo
61° / 43°
Wind
9 mph
Precip
No precip
Google Weather
Hi / Lo
66° / 35°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
Rain

See how each of these did once the day is in the books: Blowing Rock's accuracy board | How we grade

Fall color

When Blowing Rock peaks

October 15–25

Predicted peak window, fall 2026

Blowing Rock sits at 3,573 feet, high enough to turn well ahead of the valley towns, a step behind the exposed ridges. Peak color reaches 5,000 feet around October 6, 2026, then slides about 6.5 days later for every 1,000 feet it descends, which puts Blowing Rock about 9 days behind the 5,000 foot ridges.

September ran 2.7°F warmer than Blowing Rock's own normal, which moved the window 4.8 days later. Warm autumns delay the shutdown that lets the color show. Cold ones hurry it along.

A peak window is a claim about October, so it gets graded like every other forecast here. Once the leaves actually turn we score these dates against the published fall color reports and the result goes on the board, flattering or not. This is the model's first live fall, so read the window as a first attempt with its work shown, not a settled number. Every town's window, and how the model gets a date.

3,500 to 5,000 feet | Model leaf-v1