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Dave's Sweater
Avery County | 3,701 ft

Banner Elk weather

A real Banner Elk forecast, not a stamped regional copy. Every source we track, pulled at Banner Elk's own coordinates, blended into one consensus and graded daily against Banner Elk's own actuals.

Dave's Sweater Index | Mon, Oct 26
High 61° | Low 43° | No precip
The average of 8 independent (and free) forecasters
The forecast belongs to everybody. The sweater call is yours.

Sweater Weather Index

You could go either way. Bring it and decide later.

Layers to consider: 0-1

The 5-day | Banner Elk

Mon
Oct 26
Dry, cool
Wind: 5 mph
61° 43°
Tue
Oct 27
Dry, cool
Wind: 7 mph
63° 44°
Wed
Oct 28
Dry, cool
Wind: 6 mph
60° 43°
Thu
Oct 29
Dry, cool
Wind: 5 mph
65° 44°
Fri
Oct 30
Dry, cool
Wind: 4 mph
67° 48°

See the scoreboard|How we grade

What they're predicting for Banner Elk

Here's what each forecast says for Monday, October 26: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Open-Meteo
Hi / Lo
63° / 38°
Wind
7 mph
Precip
No precip
Ray's Weather
Hi / Lo
62° / 33°
Wind
—
Precip
No precip
NWS
Hi / Lo
60° / 44°
Wind
3 mph
Precip
No precip
Met.no
Hi / Lo
62° / 51°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
OpenWeatherMap
Hi / Lo
59° / 56°
Wind
4 mph
Precip
No precip
WeatherAPI
Hi / Lo
61° / 45°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
Visual Crossing
Hi / Lo
61° / 34°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
Tomorrow.io
Hi / Lo
62° / 42°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
Google Weather
Hi / Lo
63° / 35°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
Rain

See how each of these did once the day is in the books: Banner Elk's accuracy board | How we grade

Fall color

When Banner Elk peaks

October 14–24

Predicted peak window, fall 2026

Banner Elk sits at 3,701 feet, high enough to turn well ahead of the valley towns, a step behind the exposed ridges. Peak color reaches 5,000 feet around October 6, 2026, then slides about 6.5 days later for every 1,000 feet it descends, which puts Banner Elk about 8 days behind the 5,000 foot ridges.

September ran 2.3°F warmer than Banner Elk's own normal, which moved the window 4.1 days later. Warm autumns delay the shutdown that lets the color show. Cold ones hurry it along.

A peak window is a claim about October, so it gets graded like every other forecast here. Once the leaves actually turn we score these dates against the published fall color reports and the result goes on the board, flattering or not. This is the model's first live fall, so read the window as a first attempt with its work shown, not a settled number. Every town's window, and how the model gets a date.

3,500 to 5,000 feet | Model leaf-v1