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Dave's Sweater
Mitchell County | 2,471 ft

Bakersville weather

A real Bakersville forecast, not a stamped regional copy. Every source we track, pulled at Bakersville's own coordinates, blended into one consensus and graded daily against Bakersville's own actuals.

Dave's Sweater Index | Mon, Oct 26
High 68° | Low 42° | No precip
The average of 8 independent (and free) forecasters
The forecast belongs to everybody. The sweater call is yours.

Sweater Weather Index

No sweater needed unless you're in aggressive AC.

Layers to consider: 0

The 5-day | Bakersville

Mon
Oct 26
Dry, mild
Wind: 5 mph
68° 42°
Tue
Oct 27
Dry, mild
Wind: 8 mph
69° 44°
Wed
Oct 28
Dry, cool
Wind: 5 mph
65° 43°
Thu
Oct 29
Dry, mild
Wind: 4 mph
69° 45°
Fri
Oct 30
Dry, mild
Wind: 3 mph
72° 46°

See the scoreboard|How we grade

What they're predicting for Bakersville

Here's what each forecast says for Monday, October 26: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Open-Meteo
Hi / Lo
70° / 34°
Wind
7 mph
Precip
No precip
Ray's Weather
Hi / Lo
70° / 35°
Wind
—
Precip
No precip
NWS
Hi / Lo
72° / 40°
Wind
2 mph
Precip
No precip
Met.no
Hi / Lo
66° / 54°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
OpenWeatherMap
Hi / Lo
64° / 62°
Wind
6 mph
Precip
No precip
WeatherAPI
Hi / Lo
69° / 38°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
Visual Crossing
Hi / Lo
67° / 38°
Wind
4 mph
Precip
No precip
Tomorrow.io
Hi / Lo
68° / 35°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
No precip
Google Weather
Hi / Lo
67° / 37°
Wind
5 mph
Precip
Rain

See how each of these did once the day is in the books: Bakersville's accuracy board | How we grade

Fall color

When Bakersville peaks

October 22–November 1

Predicted peak window, fall 2026

Bakersville sits at 2,471 feet, low enough that its color arrives after the mountains above it have already dropped. Peak color reaches 5,000 feet around October 6, 2026, then slides about 6.5 days later for every 1,000 feet it descends, which puts Bakersville about 16 days behind the 5,000 foot ridges.

September ran 2.7°F warmer than Bakersville's own normal, which moved the window 4.9 days later. Warm autumns delay the shutdown that lets the color show. Cold ones hurry it along.

A peak window is a claim about October, so it gets graded like every other forecast here. Once the leaves actually turn we score these dates against the published fall color reports and the result goes on the board, flattering or not. This is the model's first live fall, so read the window as a first attempt with its work shown, not a settled number. Every town's window, and how the model gets a date.

Below 2,500 feet | Model leaf-v1