Tracking since July 19, 2026 | 8 of 9 days

Right Ray / Wrong Ray | Jefferson

Name: Jefferson, NC forecast accuracy scores
Creator: Dave's Sweater
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Every forecast for Jefferson is a claim about tomorrow. This board grades each one we track against what the sky actually did, on the same rubric as Boone. Jefferson stands alone here: no blended average, no borrowed scores.

How Ray did ↓Jefferson's forecast

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This board is provisional. Jefferson has 8 of 9 scored days. The numbers below are real, just early. They graduate to an established record once the count crosses 9, the same gate every source on the site clears.

Jefferson Scoreboard

Every forecaster we track for Jefferson, ranked by average. Our own Dave's Sweater Index (marked ours) is graded right in the mix.

			Record	Trend
Open-Meteo	96.0	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
Dave's Sweater Indexours	93.4	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
National Weather Service	78.0	1	1R - 0M - 0W	—
Ray's Weather	66.7	8	0R - 8M - 0W
MET Norway	57.7	1	0R - 0M - 1W	—

Open-Meteo96.0
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
Dave's Sweater Indexours93.4
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
National Weather Service78.0
1R - 0M - 0W | 1 days—
Ray's Weather66.7
0R - 8M - 0W | 8 days
MET Norway57.7
0R - 0M - 1W | 1 days—

R: Right, 75+
M: Meh, 60 to 74
W: Wrong, under 60
Trend: 7-day rolling average

Latest scored day | July 26, 2026

Jefferson's forecasts, graded against what the sky actually did. The math is under each score.

What actually happened

Hi: 78.5° / Lo: 62.3° | Wind: 8.3 mph | Rain: 0.252"

Slight rain

Ray's WeatherPaid

70.0/100

Predicted hi / lo

78° / 62°

Wind

—

Rain

—

Show the math ↓

Field

Predicted → actual

Pts

High temp · ±0.5°

78° → 78.5°

30/30

Low temp · ±0.3°

62° → 62.3°

30/30

Wind · not published

— → 8.3 mph

—

Precip · —

— → 0.25"

10/20

Each forecast is scored out of 100 across four fields, by closeness to the actual recorded conditions. Those fields are high temp (30), low temp (30), wind (20, scored as a range when the source gives one) and precipitation (20, form and amount graded together, snow-aware). Same rubric for every town.

Ray's Weather publishes a per-town high, low and sky icon, so his town boards are graded on those. The icon is read as his precipitation call (a dry icon scores as a no-rain forecast, a rain or storm icon as rain). His wind text is one identical regional string across every town, so wind stays an honest forfeit here rather than a stamped guess. See the methodology for the icon mapping.

Full methodology | Boone's board

What they're predicting for Jefferson

Here's what each forecast says for Tuesday, July 28: Logged before the actuals exist. Come back once the day's in to see who was right.

Source	High	Low	Wind	Precip
Open-Meteo	83°	67°	18 mph	No precip
Ray's Weather	79°	63°	—	Rain
NWSnew	82°	62°	7 mph	No precip
Met.nonew	80°	62°	18 mph	Rain

Open-Meteo

Hi / Lo: 83° / 67°
Wind: 18 mph
Precip: No precip

Ray's Weather

Hi / Lo: 79° / 63°
Wind: —
Precip: Rain

NWSnew

Hi / Lo: 82° / 62°
Wind: 7 mph
Precip: No precip

Met.nonew

Hi / Lo: 80° / 62°
Wind: 18 mph
Precip: Rain