Ray's Weather Report Card: July 2026
Published October 10, 2026
We scored 30 days of Boone forecasts in July 2026. Open-Meteo averaged 90.7 and Ray’s Weather 77.5, a 13.2-point gap and the narrowest of the three summer months. Ray’s logged no Wrong days, after six in June, and still finished last among the nine forecasters we track in Boone.
Key takeaways
- Ray’s Weather averaged 77.5 in July 2026, a “Right” month on average, but 13.2 points behind free Open-Meteo’s 90.7
- Ray’s went Right on 22 days and Meh on 8, with no Wrong days at all
- Open-Meteo graded Right on all 30 days and beat Ray’s on 29 of them; the exception was July 22
- Ray’s low for the month was 61.3 on July 29, a day Open-Meteo scored 95.7
- All eight other sources we track in Boone finished July ahead of Ray’s, the weakest of them (the National Weather Service) by 5.4 points
How did Ray’s Weather score in July 2026?
Ray’s Weather averaged 77.5 across 30 scored days in July 2026. That is a better month than June, when he scored 69.7. He posted 22 Right days and 8 Meh days. Open-Meteo went 30-0-0.
July 2026 at a glance
July in Boone was warm and wet. Measurable rain fell on 24 of the 30 days, with an average high of 77.3°F and an average low of 63.3°F. Wet days are hard on every forecaster, and even so Open-Meteo’s worst day of the month was a 75.4.
Which Boone forecast was most accurate in July 2026?
Google had the highest July average of the nine forecasters at 94.7, with MET Norway at 93.8 and Open-Meteo at 90.7. Ray’s Weather was ninth at 77.5. The Open-Meteo lead over Ray’s held in every week of the month, from 17.8 points in the first week to 25.7 in the last three days.
How did each forecaster rank in July?
| Source | July avg | R-M-W |
|---|---|---|
| 94.7 | 30-0-0 | |
| MET Norway | 93.8 | 29-1-0 |
| Open-Meteo (free) | 90.7 | 30-0-0 |
| Visual Crossing | 90.0 | 29-1-0 |
| Tomorrow.io | 88.7 | 29-1-0 |
| WeatherAPI | 85.6 | 28-2-0 |
| OpenWeather | 84.9 | 24-5-1 |
| National Weather Service | 82.9 | 24-6-0 |
| Ray’s Weather (paid) | 77.5 | 22-8-0 |
Scores are the mean of each day’s 0 to 100 grade. R-M-W is the count of days graded Right, Meh, and Wrong.
What does the R-M-W column mean?
Right is 75 or above, Meh is 60 to 74, and Wrong is anything under 60. Ray’s 22-8-0 is a respectable shape. Most of his July was solid, and the eight Meh days are what separate a 77.5 from the 90s. OpenWeather shows what a Wrong day looks like on the other side of the table. It scored 49.6 on July 10, the lowest grade any source posted all month.
What were Ray’s best and worst days in July?
Ray’s Weather ranged from 61.3 on July 29 to 89.0 on July 22, a 27.7-point swing. His best day was also the one day he beat Open-Meteo. His worst day was a day Open-Meteo nearly aced.
What was Ray’s worst July day?
July 29 was Ray’s worst at 61.3. He forecast a low of 54°F and the night bottomed out at 61.1°F, a 7.1-degree miss that cost him 18.3 of the 30 low-temperature points. His high was off by 3 degrees too. Open-Meteo scored 95.7 on the same day.
July 2 was the runner-up at 64.0. Ray’s called for 92°F and a lone afternoon thunderstorm. The high reached 87.6°F, no rain fell, and the rain call came with no total, so he forfeited all 20 precipitation points.
What was Ray’s best July day?
July 22 was his best at 89.0, on a day of heavy rain (0.76 inches) in Boone. He called a 76°F high against an actual 75.3°F and a 63°F low against 63.7°F. Open-Meteo scored 81.7 that day, so this is the one July date where the paid forecast came out ahead.
Why did the free apps beat the paid one again?
The gap comes from the high temperature and from precipitation. Ray’s averaged 23.6 of 30 points on the daily high in July against Open-Meteo’s 28.1, and 11.1 of 20 on precipitation against 15.4. His average miss on the daily high was 3.1°F. Open-Meteo’s was 1.4°F.
Where the points go
Each forecast is graded out of 100, split across four fields:
- High temp: 30
- Low temp: 30
- Wind: 20
- Precip: 20
The precip-amount rule
Ray’s Weather publishes a forecast of rain or snow but never a numeric total. On a dry-forecast day, “no precip” is scored as a zero-inch forecast, and Ray’s earns those points. On a wet-forecast day, a rain call with no stated total forfeits the amount half of the field. A source can’t gain by leaving the hard number blank, and the rule applies to every source the same way.
What does a 13-point monthly gap actually mean?
A 13.2-point gap means the paid forecast landed about a grade band below the free one, on average, for a whole month. Open-Meteo turned in an A- and Ray’s a C+. The gap is smaller than June’s 21.2 points, and it has not closed. Through July 31, across the 147 days Ray’s has been scored since March 5, Open-Meteo averages 90.0 and Ray’s 69.2, a 20.8-point difference on the same days.
This is a short-range measurement. We grade a forecast captured around midday against the next day’s actuals, so it says nothing about seven- or ten-day lead time. The longer argument lives in is Ray’s Weather accurate?, and the June numbers are in the June 2026 report card.
See the live scoreboard
The monthly cards are slices of a record that updates daily. Open the live scoreboard, updated daily to see every source graded today, or check today’s Dave’s Sweater Index for the current sweater verdict. All of it is public, CSV and JSON, scored the same way every day. The full series sits on the report card page.
Frequently asked questions
Was Ray’s Weather accurate in July 2026?
Ray’s Weather was fairly accurate in July 2026, averaging 77.5 out of 100 across 30 scored days. He posted 22 Right days, 8 Meh days, and no Wrong days. Open-Meteo scored higher at 90.7 and graded Right on all 30 days.
What was the most accurate Boone forecast in July 2026?
Of the nine forecasters we track in Boone, Google had the highest July average at 94.7 out of 100, followed by MET Norway at 93.8 and Open-Meteo at 90.7. Ray’s Weather ranked ninth at 77.5.
How does Dave’s Sweater score a forecast?
Each forecast is graded out of 100 points: high temp 30, low temp 30, wind 20, and precipitation 20. We capture the forecast around midday and score it the next day against verified actuals from the Open-Meteo archive. The scoring is snow-aware and documented on the methodology page.
Why did Ray’s Weather score lower than the free apps?
Ray’s lost the most ground on the daily high, where his average miss was 3.1°F against Open-Meteo’s 1.4°F, and on precipitation, where he never publishes a numeric total and forfeits the amount half of the field on days he calls for rain.
What was Ray’s worst forecast day in July 2026?
Ray’s worst forecast day in July 2026 was July 29, scoring 61.3 out of 100. He forecast an overnight low of 54°F and the actual low was 61.1°F. His best day was July 22 at 89.0, the one day he outscored Open-Meteo.
Is Open-Meteo more accurate than Ray’s Weather?
In July 2026, yes. Open-Meteo averaged 90.7 versus Ray’s 77.5, and it scored higher on 29 of 30 days. Across the 147 days Ray’s has been scored since March 5, it averages 90.0 against his 69.2. Open-Meteo is free; Ray’s extended forecasts are paid.
How often is a new report card published?
A new report card covers each calendar month, scoring every Boone forecaster against verified actuals. Between editions the scoreboard updates daily, so the current numbers are always a click away.
Want today’s numbers instead of last month’s? Open the live scoreboard, updated daily or read how the 100-point scoring works to check our math.