Ray's Weather Report Card: June 2026
Published July 2, 2026
We scored 29 days of Boone forecasts in June 2026. Open-Meteo led at 92.3, Apple Weather 88.0, and Ray’s Weather 73.3, a 19.0-point gap. Ray’s went Wrong on 4 days; the free sources on zero.
Key takeaways
- Ray’s Weather averaged 73.3 in June 2026, a passing grade, but 19.0 points behind free Open-Meteo’s 92.3
- Open-Meteo went Right on 28 of 29 days and never once graded Wrong; Apple Weather never graded Wrong either
- Ray’s logged 4 Wrong days in June, including a 26.1 on June 2, the month’s low across every source we track
- The paid forecast still beat its own worst reputation on June 24, scoring 90.7
- Every free source we track finished June ahead of the paid one, the same pattern as the full 118-day window
How did Ray’s Weather score in June 2026?
Ray’s Weather averaged 73.3 across 29 scored days in June 2026, landing in “Meh” territory, a passing month but not a strong one. He posted 14 Right days, 11 Meh days, and 4 Wrong days. The free apps most people ignore did better. Open-Meteo averaged 92.3 and Apple Weather 88.0, neither dipping into Wrong even once.
Every day around midday we capture what each source predicts, then score it the next day against verified actuals from the Open-Meteo historical archive. June gave us 29 clean days to grade. The headline is the gap of 19.0 points a day between the best free forecast and the paid one, on the same weather, in the same town.
June 2026 at a glance
June ran warm and unremarkable in Boone, the kind of month where a good forecaster should coast. Open-Meteo did exactly that, missing “Right” on a single day. Ray’s Weather had a rougher time of it, with a handful of days that dragged the average down more than a quiet mountain June should allow.
Which Boone forecast was most accurate in June 2026?
Open-Meteo was the most accurate Boone forecast in June 2026 at 92.3, followed by Apple Weather at 88.0 and Ray’s Weather at 73.3. Both free sources cleared the “Right” threshold for the month; Ray’s sat in “Meh.” The ranking held every week. This was not one bad day dragging an otherwise-tied race apart.
How did each forecaster rank in June?
| Source | June avg | R-M-W |
|---|---|---|
| Open-Meteo (free) | 92.3 | 28-1-0 |
| Apple Weather (free) | 88.0 | 26-3-0 |
| Ray’s Weather (paid) | 73.3 | 14-11-4 |
Scores are the mean of each day’s 0–100 grade | R-M-W is the count of days graded Right, Meh, and Wrong.
What does the R-M-W column mean?
The R-M-W column is the shape behind the average. Right means 75 or above, Meh is 60–74, and Wrong is anything under 60. Open-Meteo’s 28-1-0 says it was Right nearly every day. Ray’s 14-11-4 says half his month was solid and the other half wobbled, with 11 middling days and 4 outright misses pulling 73.3 down from the 90s the free sources posted.
What were Ray’s best and worst days in June?
Ray’s Weather ranged from 26.1 on June 2, 2026 to 90.7 on June 24, 2026, a 64.6-point swing across a single month. The low is the worst single-source day we recorded anywhere in June; the high is a genuinely strong forecast that shows the ceiling is there when the day cooperates.
What was Ray’s worst June day?
June 2, 2026 was Ray’s worst day of the month at 26.1, deep in Wrong territory and the lowest score any source posted in June. A day like that usually means the temperature call missed badly, since high and low temp are worth 60 of the 100 points. No free source came anywhere near that floor.
What was Ray’s best June day?
June 24, 2026 was Ray’s best day at 90.7, a clean five-ray forecast that would look at home on any source’s scoreboard. Ray’s Weather can absolutely nail a day, and that is worth saying plainly. The issue the tracker keeps surfacing is that his misses run deeper, and land more often, than the free alternatives’.
Why did the free apps beat the paid one again?
The free apps win on consistency and on the precip-amount field. Temperature accuracy is where most of the 100 points live, and the free sources simply missed less often. Ray’s also forfeits points on a structural quirk, since he never publishes a numeric precipitation total, so on wet-forecast days he leaves a scoreable field blank.
Where the points go
Each forecast is graded out of 100, split across five fields:
- High temp: 30
- Low temp: 30
- Wind: 20
- Precip type: 10
- Precip amount: 10
Sixty of those points are temperature, so a source that reads daily highs and lows cleanly starts most days near a passing grade. The free sources pull their numbers straight from model output; that consistency is most of the story behind a 92.3 versus a 73.3.
The precip-amount rule
Ray’s Weather never gives a numeric precip total, and our rule handles that evenly. On a dry-forecast day, “no precip” is scored as a zero-inch forecast, so Ray’s earns the amount points he’s owed. On a wet-forecast day, a rain or snow call with no stated total forfeits the amount field. A source can’t gain by leaving the hard number blank. It cuts both ways; it just happens to cost Ray’s on the days he calls for rain. See how the 100-point scoring works for the full model.
What does a 19-point monthly gap actually mean?
A 19.0-point monthly gap means the paid forecast landed a grade band below the free one, every day on average, for a whole month. In classroom terms, Open-Meteo turned in a low-A month and Ray’s turned in a C. That gap is not a fluke of June. It tracks the full 118-day record, where Open-Meteo averages 92.0 and Ray’s 71.0, about 21 points a day.
Worth keeping in scope. This is a short-range measurement. We capture each forecast around midday and score it against the next day’s actuals, so what we’re grading is one-day-out accuracy, not seven- or ten-day lead time. If you want the full methodology and its limits, the live scoreboard, updated daily shows every source scored, every day, and links back to the receipts. For the longer argument, see is Ray’s Weather accurate?.
See the live scoreboard
June is one month in a record that keeps growing. The pattern in the monthly numbers is the same pattern in the season-long numbers. The free forecasts most people ignore keep pace with, and usually beat, the paid one everybody trusts. We keep the receipts, and they’re public, CSV and JSON, scored the same way every day.
Check today’s Dave’s Sweater Index for the current sweater verdict, or open the live scoreboard, updated daily to watch July’s report card build itself one day at a time.
Frequently asked questions
Was Ray’s Weather accurate in June 2026?
Ray’s Weather was moderately accurate in June 2026, averaging 73.3 out of 100 across 29 scored days, a passing “Meh” grade. He posted 14 Right days and 4 Wrong days. Free Open-Meteo (92.3) and Apple Weather (88.0) both scored higher and never graded Wrong.
What was the most accurate Boone forecast in June 2026?
Open-Meteo was the most accurate Boone forecast in June 2026 at 92.3 out of 100, going Right on 28 of 29 days. Apple Weather placed second at 88.0, and Ray’s Weather third at 73.3. Both free sources beat the paid forecast for the month.
How does Dave’s Sweater score a forecast?
Each forecast is graded out of 100 points: high temp 30, low temp 30, wind 20, precip type 10, and precip amount 10. We capture the forecast around midday and score it the next day against verified actuals. The scoring is snow-aware and fully documented on the methodology page.
Why did Ray’s Weather score lower than the free apps?
Ray’s scored lower on temperature misses (60 of the 100 points are high and low temp) and on deeper, worse days. He also forfeits the precip-amount field on wet-forecast days because he never publishes a numeric rain or snow total, while the free sources report one.
What was Ray’s worst forecast day in June 2026?
Ray’s worst forecast day in June 2026 was June 2, scoring 26.1 out of 100, deep in Wrong territory and the lowest single-day score any source posted all month. His best day was June 24 at 90.7, so the range within one month spanned 64.6 points.
Is Open-Meteo more accurate than Ray’s Weather?
In June 2026, yes. Open-Meteo averaged 92.3 versus Ray’s 73.3, a 19.0-point gap. It holds over the full 118-day tracking window too, where Open-Meteo averages 92.0 and Ray’s 71.0. Open-Meteo is free; Ray’s extended forecasts are paid.
How often is a new report card published?
A new report card is published once a month, scoring every Boone forecaster against verified actuals. Between editions, the scoreboard updates every day, so you never have to wait for the monthly wrap-up to see how a source is doing right now.
Want the current numbers instead of last month’s? Open the live scoreboard, updated daily to see every Boone forecaster graded today, or read how the 100-point scoring works to check our math. We kept the receipts. They’re public, and they’re scored the same way every single day.